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16.08.2011 10:38 AM
AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for August 16, 2011

AUD/USD is moving within wave B (from 1.0928) of medium term downtrend - colored royal blue in the chart. Within wave B there are A, B and C subwaves (colored red in the chart) with subwave C still developing from 1.0111. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 1.1079-0.9928, and expansions off 0.9928-1.0414-1.0111, 1.0111-1.0358-1.0246, 1.0246-1.0440-1.0387.

Resistances:

- 1.0493-1.0504-1.0507 = confluence area of objective point (OP), .50 retracement, and contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0581 = OP
- 1.0597 = OP
- 1.0639-46 = confluence area of .618 ret and expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0701 = expanded objective point (XOP)

If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 0.9928-1.0511.

Supports:

- 1.0288 = .382 ret
- 1.0219 = .50 ret
- 1.0151 = .618 ret

This image is no longer relevant

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term trend is up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or gets into the oversold area (40-60 pips below the current prices).

Read more on how to apply Fibonacci studies to calculate price targets.

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