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18.01.2024 02:23 PM
Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on January 18 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on GBP/USD

The test of 1.2676 took place at a time when the MACD line just started its fall from zero, provoking a signal to sell. However, no price decrease occurred.

The empty macroeconomic calendar in the UK kept the upward potential. However, things could change after the release of data from the US. The reports on the labor market will not have much impact on dollar, but the reports on the real estate market could set the pair's direction, as very weak figures on building permits and new foundations will negatively affect dollar's positions. This will allow GBP/USD to continue yesterday's upward trend. In the case of very good data, dollar demand will surge, leading to a fall in the pair.

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For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2697 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2753 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur amid very weak data from the US.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2651, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2697 and 1.2753.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2651 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2599. Pressure will increase in the case of an unsuccessful attempt to consolidate at the daily high and strong statistics from the US.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2697, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2651 and 1.2599.

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What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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