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02.01.2012 06:46 PM
EUR/JPY: Weekly Technical Levels for January 2nd - 6th, 2012.

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Weekly Technical Levels:

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Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are good indication for the maximum range for extremely volatile days but can be exceeded occasionally.

Pivot lines work well in sideways markets as prices will most likely range between the R1 and S1 line.

In a strong trend, price will be low through a pivot point line and keep going.

If there is significant news to influence the market price may go straight through R1 or S1 and reach even R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

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Time Frame: H1.

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Drag your Fibonacci retracement levels from the lower to the higher of the last week (It has 120 candles, as you know each candle is formed in 1 hour on H1 chart, then: (120 candles * 1 hour) / 24 hours = 5 days from 24th of December to 28th of December, 2011) in order to determine low and high price.

Average = (Higher - Lower) / 2
Average = 100.72

  • Range was: 252 pips.
  • The value of 50% Fibonacci retracement levels is: 100.72.
  • 102.40 will be formed a strong resistance.
  • 98.15 will be formed a strong support.
  • Volatility is 2538.14 so the market has called for a high volatile.
  • It should be noted that the price has still been trapped between 102.40 and 99.50. Aswell the weekly pivot point equal the 38.2% of Fibonacci retracement levels.

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Observation (s):

  • If the strength of the trend for pair is an uptrend, then the strength of the currency: EUR is an uptrend and JPY is a downtrend.
  • Most of traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance.
  • Volatility Formulas: Variation = Average * (Higher - Lower).

Ringkasan
Urgensi
Analitik
Mourad El Keddani
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